Given all the news out of the IRS lately, what will Tax Day 2026 look like? The Washington Post asked people inside the IRS, in the tax community and in the Trump administration to play it out. Most of them spoke on the condition of anonymity to offer candid assessments.

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Folks at the IRS and in the tax community are nervous about the future of voluntary compliance — people willingly and truthfully filling out their returns and paying balances owed. As the Treasury Department and the Elon Musk-overseen U.S. DOGE Service steadily slash the IRS’s workforce, numerous current and former tax officials said they were worried that could induce people to cheat on their taxes who otherwise wouldn’t. DOGE stands for Department of Government Efficiency, though it is not a Cabinet-level agency.